Dema

Causal attribution

Give credit where
it’s actually due.

Calibrate platform and multi-touch attribution with incrementality evidence. Understand what each channel contributes, then put your next euro to work.

Field overshirt campaign creativeMeta · Prospecting
Platform-reported revenue€50,000
Calibration factor

Informed by incrementality evidence

×0.60
Calibrated channel revenue€30,000
The reported number, calibrated against causal evidence.

Used by the teams at

Acne Studios
Scuffers
Represent
NOTHS
Ridestore
Axel Arigato
Adlibris
Osprey London
Villoid
Ninepine
Acne Studios
Scuffers
Represent
NOTHS
Ridestore
Axel Arigato
Adlibris
Osprey London
Villoid
Ninepine
Acne Studios
Scuffers
Represent
NOTHS
Ridestore
Axel Arigato
Adlibris
Osprey London
Villoid
Ninepine

From reporting to reality

The sale is real.
The credit needs work.

An ad platform records a conversion. That doesn’t tell you whether the customer would have bought anyway. MTA sees touchpoints, but can miss the influence it couldn’t track.

Calibration uses incrementality evidence to adjust that credit. Your total revenue stays the same. The share attributed to each channel changes.

Same business. Same €100,000.
Before calibration€100,000
€50k
€50k
After calibration · ×0.60€100,000
€30k
€70k
Meta · beforeMeta · calibratedOther selected channels
€20,000 of credit is redistributed. No revenue is created or lost.

Grounded in experiments

A factor you can
actually explain.

Start with Dema’s experiment benchmark. Bring in tests from your own business. See the evidence behind the estimate, including the uncertainty.

Then choose your calibration factor. It stays explicit, with a separate setting for each channel, funnel and market that needs one.

How incrementality testing works
Evidence behind the factor
Meta · Prospecting · Sweden0.60×

A range of evidence.
One explicit setting.

Calibration factor distributionAn illustrative distribution centered on 0.60, with example experiments at 0.48, 0.63 and 0.74. The chosen multiplier is marked at 0.60. The factor axis runs from 0 to 1.5.0.0×0.5×1.0×1.5×
Evidence distributionYour experimentsChosen factor
The distribution shows uncertainty. Your setting stays visible.

Your calibration, in plain sight

Different channels.
Different corrections.

Choose the reporting source. Review the evidence. Set the multiplier. Explore the example below to see exactly how a channel’s attributed revenue changes.

Calibration settings

Each channel, funnel and market can have its own calibration.

Meta / ProspectingSweden
Calibration base
Reported revenue€50,000
×
Factor0.60
=
Calibrated revenue€30,000
0.60×
0.10×1.50×

Retain 60% of the reported revenue for this channel. A different base needs its own calibration.

Below 1× adjusts credit down. Above 1× adjusts it up.In Dema, review the experiment evidence before choosing a factor.

Bring it back to profit

Same revenue.
A different return.

Revenue is only part of the decision. Product margins, fulfilment and returns change what you keep. Read calibrated performance alongside contribution after advertising.

Black Wool Henley

Full-price purchases

Higher margins. Fewer returns.

Contribution after advertising+€3,000
Cream Boxy Tee

Discount-led purchases

Lower margins. More returns.

Contribution after advertising−€4,000

Illustrative economics. Both examples have €30,000 in calibrated revenue. Contribution is after product, fulfilment and return costs, before ad spend.

Plan the wider mix with MMM

Trusted by category leaders.

All customer stories
Axel Arigato

More Google spend. More incremental profit.

Incrementality tests revealed profitable headroom on Google.

Read the story
Axel Arigato campaign: tying a blue sneaker

Questions

A little more clarity.

Bring one commercial job

See what your channels actually contribute.